Tag Archives: Science

Coronavirus diary day 40 – The sordid history of the Covid-19 pseudo-cure Trump publicised

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The bleach-based “miracle cure” mentioned by Donald “Sarcastic” Trump during a Coronavirus briefing on Thursday has been knocking about since 2006, despite numerous warnings about its potentially harmful effects. It was foisted on Ugandans last year, thanks to a US-based pseudo-church.

Screen shot of the Uganda use of MMS

The Miracle Mineral Supplement (MMS) is made from the industrial bleach chlorine dioxide mixed with citric acid. It can cause nausea, vomiting and diarrhea.

It can also kill you by inducing low blood pressure due to dehydration. A Mexican woman travelling in a yacht with her American husband off Vanuatu died after taking MMS in 2009, Wikipedia tell us.

Despite warnings by health authorities in the US, the UK, Australia, Belgium and France, a New Jersey pastor called Robert Baldwin, working with British “clairvoyant” Sam Little, imported bulk shipments of the components of MMS, sodium chlorite and citric acid, into Uganda from China, the Guardian reported last year.

Through a network of 1,200 pastors, the most enthusiastic of whom were given smartphones, some 50,000 Ugandans, including children as young as 14 months old, were given the fake medicine, diluted in water.

Baldwin’s Global Healing ministry claimed it was a cure for cancer, HIV/Aids, malaria and pretty much anything else you care to think of.

After the Guardian exposed the scam, he shut down his operations, telling NJ Advance Media “People are calling me Satan.” This seems to have come as a surprise.

Baldwin chose Uganda because it was a poor country with weak regulation, as he told Fiona O’Leary, a campaigner against quack medicine who spoke to him posing as a freelance journalist.

“Those people in poor countries they don’t have the options that we have in the richer countries,” he said. “They are much more open to receiving the blessings that God has given them.”

Two French scientists were recently slammed for suggesting that Coronavirus drug trials should be run in Africa, where multinationals have tested other drugs in the past.

WHO boss Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus called the idea “racist” and a hangover of “colonial mentality” and there was an outcry on social media.

Less-than-successful trials in the developing world haven’t deterred mumbo-jumbo peddlers from pushing their product in the imperial heartland, now that a lot of worried people opens up the gullible market.

The bleach cure idea appears to have been planted in Trump’s disorderly brain by another US MMS advocate, the self-styled “Bishop” Mark Grenon, the Guardian reports.

Grenon, who runs Genesis II – a Florida-based establishment that claims to be a church and which is the largest MMS producer and distributor in the US – wrote to Trump earlier in the week, claiming the bleach mix could cure Covid-19.

Even before Trump’s statement, he was bragging about this initiative in a video on the Genesis II website.

“Trump has got the MMS and all the info!!! Things are happening folks! Lord help others to see the Truth!” he exalted on his Facebook page, which also carries posts relating to various conspiracy theories, on Friday.

Now that the US’s Food and Drug Administration has repeated its warnings about MMS, posts on the Genesis II website have become more defensive, accusing the FDA of “attacks on our Sacraments” and pleading “THIS INSANITY HAS TO STOP!!” (their capitals, obviously).

The term MMS seems to have been dreamt up by the founder and archbishop of Genesis II, former Scientologist Jim Humble, in a self-published book, The Miracle Mineral Solution of the 21st Century.

Tracked down in Mexico by ABC News in 2016, he told reporters, “MMS cures nothing”.

A website jimhumble.co continues to describe his “discovery” of chlorine dioxide’s supposed properties as “a breakthrough that can save your life”, however.

Grenon continues to carry the flame. And sell the product.

France’s Covid-19 death toll officially stands at 22,245, up 389 in 24 hours. 28,658 people are in hospital, down 561 in a day, 4,870 In intensive care, down 183. 43,493 people have been discharged from hospital.

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Coronavirus diary day 37 – Covid-19 infection rate down in France but herd immunity is far off

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Lockdown has slashed the rate of Covid-19 infection in France. That’s the good news. The bad news is that herd immunity is therefore a distant dream and a second wave of infections is pretty likely.

The number of people infected by someone who has contracted the virus has fallen from 3.3 to 0.5 since lockdown was declared, according to a study by researchers from the very authoritative Institut Pasteur, the national health authority and the medical research institute, Inserm.

The number of people admitted to intensive care fell from 700 a day when lockdown began to no more than 200 by 14 April. That means there should be between 1,370 and 1,900 intensive-care patients on 11 May, when the confinement is to be relaxed, compared to 5,433 today.

But confinement has also meant fewer overall cases, so fewer people immunised.

The researchers estimate that 3.7 million people living in France will have come in contact with the virus by 11 May. That sounds like a lot but it’s only 5.7% of the population. Scientists believe that 70% of the population need to have been infected to attain herd immunity.

Even in the worst-hit parts of the country, Ile de France and the Grand Est, the proportion infected are only 12.3% and 11.8% respectively.

On seeing the headline, I hoped the researchers had based their estimates on the official figures of the infection rate, which are complete nonsense due to the failure to carry out widespread testing.

Unfortunately, they’re really serious scientists, so they were much more methodical than that.

They based their estimates on the number of deaths in France so far, compared to the ratio of deaths to infection aboard the cruise ship Diamond-Princess, which was placed in quarantine off Japan. Given that all the passengers were tested, the figures should be reliable after being adjusted for variables, notable age.

The study finds that you have a 0.53% chance of dying if you catch Covid-19, which confirms findings of 0.5-0.7% in China. As we already know, there are great variations according to age – there’s only a 0.001% chance of dying if you’re under 18 but an 8.3% chance if your over 80 – and some according to gender, men being more likely to die than women.

The researchers also estimate that only 2.6% of people who catch the virus end up in hospital – lower than an estimate of 4.5% based on Chinese figures – and 18.2% of them have to be placed in intensive care.

So a second wave is very likely, either soon after lockdown ends if people are not as careful as they are now, or in the autumn, if the change in the weather and the arrival of other flu strains gives a new lease of life to Covid-19.

“Population immunity appears insufficient to avoid a second wave if all control measures are released at the end of the lockdown,” is the researchers understated comment.

On the other hand, checking the spread of the virus has given scientists time to research possible cures and look for a vaccine.

But, according to Prime Minister Edouard Philippe, a vaccine is unlikely to be developed during the course of this year. So we have many anxious months ahead of us.

France’s Covid-19 death toll is now officially 20,796, with 531 people dying in the past 24 hours. 30,106 people are in hospital, down 478, and 5,433 in intensive care, down 250. 39,181 people have been discharged from hospital, 1,772 over the last 24 hours.

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